It has not escaped me we were not invited to attend the New York State Democrats convention
I am worried about 2008. I am worried that people are deluding themselves about Hillary Clinton's electability as president. I am worried that Democrats will not win this year more seats in Congress or the Senate.
But what I am worried most of all is that progressive Democrats, those people who believe government ought to have a good does of "by the people for the people" decision making, socially responsible policies and libertarian values, are being swept aside in favor of the corporational-style of politics the Bushites have unleash on this country.
It is not that I don't like money. I do. I wish I had truck load of it to give it to the groups and people and organizations I believe are making a difference. So yes, I like money. It' just that I believe you cannot favor one part of the equation for another.
The New York contingency of the Democratic party has made the very deliberate decision to not have a grassroots media strategy. Incompetence aside, the Ferrer mayoral campaign shot themselves in the foot because they kept heeding the NY Capitol Hill's advice to stay away from bloggers.
I personally had set up 3 conference calls with bloggers from all around the country for Ferrer. I had worked up the troops and personally asked Markos, Armando and DavidNYC of DailyKos to lead the charge and put a good word for the candidate. I even was able to speak directly to Fernando Ferrer and ask him "do you want the bloggers behind you". He screamed, YES! Calls in the morning, I'm ready. And every single time Fernando Ferrer's communications people sabotaged the effort.
Ferrer, of course, lost.
Yes, yes, I know :
--Clinton will win her Senate seat.
--Spitzer will be the next governor of New York.
Come time to campaign for 2008, though, the seeds of discontent will have had time to bloom and flourish. Come time for the Democrats to call on the people who actually do the work of democracy on the streets of each county, each city and each neighborhood; they will find themselves scorned and outside of the loop of growing social networks blogs like this are building throughout the state.
That's why I am worried.
Democrats will not be able to win 2008 without the networks of social progressives and moderate Republicans that are popping out all over the political landscape via blogs. Democrats will not be able to win 2008 without showing they can take dissent and dish it out as well.
A certain congressman once told me : "We don't want to deal with the nastiness of blogs".
My reaction has always been : Dude, these are the people that want you to win.
Which is why I cannnot stress this enough to the people partying in Buffalo : Activists who take to blogs are not nasty because they hate you. They are pissed off because they think you're not listening. They are people like me who have no significant anmount of money to give but have words, have wit, have wisdom to spare; but more importantly, have influence over their own networks of voters.
Which is why you have to understand why we are tired of knocking on neighbors doors for candidates we do not feel passionate about.
Rage comes not of emotion. It comes from the personal understanding that the country is going to hell in a handbasket.
Whenever I hear of politicos talking about the scourge of bloggers, it makes me wonder about their definition of courage. I mean, wouldn't you rather deal with the wrath of the people who want you elected? Why would you want to shun them and instead go to bed with the people who want you dead? Because, honestly that is what the extremiststs that have taken hold of the Republican party want : they want us all to go to hell. Literally.
That Hillary Clinton, Eliot Spitzer, Chuck Schumer and others in the New York State Democratic Party cannot trust contentious bloggers like the people of The Daily Gotham tells a lot about where we are headed to for 2008.
That's why I am worried.
The Democrats are starting to pave their road to failure in Buffalo, New York. If things stay the course, they're going to loose the 2008 elections to a pet rock.
2006 Elections | 2008 Elections | Blogs | Internet | Media | Politics | Social Networks | Technology | Charles Schumer | Democratic Party | Eliot Spitzer | Hillary Clinton
Actually...
...I could have gone to the convention
.
The problem is two-fold, and by the way I think it's not nearly as black and white as you make it. Certainly, when you have people like John Kerry posting on Daily Kos, I don't think you can speak of wholesale exclusion. Ferrer's campaign had its head up its ass in more ways than the one you describe, and I wouldn't take that example as broadly indicative of anything.
I'd diagnose the problem as this: the institutional party hasn't yet quite realized that bloggers are activists more than journalists, and on the other hand, many bloggers, especially on the far left, really are very antagonistic to the party as it is.
There's a view out there that, if candidate X isn't with you on obscure issue Y, that person must be rejected in toto. That does not create warm fuzziness, to be blunt. Consider, say, the Vichy Democrats meme; that's not going to establish a lot of confidence, even in those not part of the group, to engage with the blogosphere. Or consider, on this blog, the vituperation directed at, say, the Brooklyn machine, cough. The perception is that blogs spend a lot of time and digital ink on attacking Democrats, and there is some truth to that.
I think that as the blogosphere matures - by which I don't mean a value judgment, but an aggregation of political experience within the medium - you'll see it play a more pronounced role within the established party structure. Give it time. Every new medium is integrated into the political process - think radio, TV and cable in their time - and blogs will be no different.
I agree
but the point i am making is that, if they are not ready to deal with dissent from the people who want them to win, they are not ready to win back the country from those who'll go to war before giving up power democratically.
there's all this talk about giving the Bushes a breather by giving up 2008 so that Jeb can win in 2012. the bushites are already outlining a strategy of retreat, not defeat. and that's what has me worried. we need not just a democrat in the white house. we need a new political movement, a new culture of democracy that will counter the extremists who are in power now.
'tis what's missing from the ny democrats picture.
...but we already have that movement
... and I'm writing about it. Article to come next week, once I compile the responses to an email I sent out recently to a bunch of people.
I think you're not far off in your diagnosis - you have that infuriating tendency of being right about these things
- but there is tremendous movement going in the direction you want to see. I should probably write you privately about some things.
True enough
Again, the left fragments itself and it is coming from both sides...maybe ALL sides. The "purists" really get to me because they are people I largely agree with in principle, but when it comes to strategy they give me a rash. And I am sure the "establishment" within the party finds them even more irritating than I do. On the other hand, the "Vichy Dems" (a term I hate and find completely inappropriate, but it DOES describe a real problem) tend to focus almost solely on strategy while neglecting any message. Bottom line is both approaches--strident purism or valueless triangulation--drives the other side crazy and alienates voters.
I have never understood why we can't have BOTH a good strategy AND some good messages. Montana Dems managed it! Why can't we apply that nationwide? Instead, most people focus on one or the other and disdain the other approach. The blogs in reality are seldom that effective. I know candidates who found blogging a waste of time--sure a handful of people get interested, but very few actually donate, carry a petition, etc. By contrast, the irritating clubs like IND, who view any idealism with considerable suspicion, actually deliver the goods on the ground.
I am with Liza that the establishment is killing its future. But I also have to agree with the establishment that the newcomers, including the blogs, have to prove their worthiness.
It's like the job market: you need a job to get experience but you need experience to get a job. The political newcomers need to get some candidates elected to be taken seriously, but you need to be taken seriously to get a candidate elected.
Dean, if his leadership of the DNC continues to be successful, extending the excellent victories of 2005 into 2006, can bridge the gap because he knows the value of both ideals AND a solid strategy. He has one foot with the insiders and one foot with the newcomers. Assuming neither side sabotages his efforts, and assuming he succeeds in winning, he can make us all get along better than we have been.
Progressives being seen as one-issue people
These are good comments. One factor I see that could be a real problem in 2008 is the perception that many left wing progressives are obsessed with one issue. That issue being the war in Iraq. I supported Howard Dean last time around, and I was amazed at how many people I found who seemed to be supporting him solely and entirely because of his stance against the war. Dean was a centerist governor, he favored states rights on issues like gun control .etc There were in fact plenty of issues the left could have had against him. But Dean was solidly anti-war, and all of a sudden that was all that mattered. I supported Dean because he wanted to bring the Democratic party back to its roots as the party that is committed to making government work for the common people, and help the common people have a fair chance to make the best out of their lives. That had nothing to do with wanting the most rabidly anti-war candidate, although his stance against the war was very good.
My fear is that in 2008 that there again will be a movement on the left to make the election nothing but a referendum on the war. We who are left wing activists need to come behind a comprehensive platform for the changes this country needs both at home and abroad. A one-issue anti-war campaign will not win. Howard Dean made great strides before the primaries as the anti-war candidate uniting the left on that one issue. But once the primaries started, voters were looking for more traditional liberal rhetoric. They opted for the meat-and-potatoes liberal Kerry over Dean, because Dean was perceived as being just the anti-war candidate. Which wasn't Dean's fault, that perception was pushed hard by his legions of progressive bloggers. As a result in Iowa on Caucus Day, there were Iowans who were stereotyping all the Deaniacs in their orange caps as simply anti-war fanatics.
In fact Dean had a great, comprehensive platform built around balancing social liberalism with fiscal practicality. But you wouldn't know it from the perception put forth by the bloggers, and they were who the press paid attention to for the most part. Dean did not come across ultimately in Iowa as the centerist governor with the same practical values as most Iowans have, he came across as the McGovern liberal anti-war candidate.
This mistake cannot be made again in 2008. The left can't simply find the most rabidly anti-war candidate and unite behind him/her as a one issue movement. That isn't the way you get elected. The movement has to have more depth, it has to be more comprehensive, it has to be about a whole series of issues as opposed to just one issue, and it cannot give off the *perception* of being just a one issue campaign. When you wage a campaign on one issue you ultimately get regarded as having little depth, you don't get taken seriously. Which is what's happened to left wing progressives, and is why I think the democratic political brass weren't interested in inviting a bunch of us up to albany for the convention.
Interesting
I don't see it this way...but you make a good point. The war is a big issue and it could be a winning or losing issue. But it certainly isn't the only issue for progressives. But are they perceived as one issue? Could be. I guess the Cindy Sheehan phenomenon, which I do not criticize per se, may be negative in that sense: giving the one-issue perception.
I do think we need a broad, progressive, populist agenda. Montana shows us the way. But can we follow? We may be too divided to do so.

















The Ever Fragmented Left
Those who are inside distrust those who are outside. Whether it is the State Dems dissing the bloggers or if it is on a smaller, more local scale like a local, supposedly reform Democratic club disenfranchising and actually scolding newcomers for joining, the old timers distrust the newcomers. And, to be fair, the newcomers don't always play by the old rules, thus further scaring the timid old timers.
The old timers will slowly fade away. The problem is, who will replace them if the newcomers are pushed away so often that their main view of the party is as an unwelcoming, hostile force. "Democrats eat their seed corn" was what one disenfranchised newcomer to that Democratic club commented. Democratic insiders destroy the party's future in order to hold onto the reins of power. So the future is angry at the present leaders.
That makes for a very ineffective party.