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This is getting to be a habit
At the risk of setting Bouldin off on one of his tirades, he again appears to be right on the money. 1,450 in a race where you need 1,000 (as opposed to 1,500 in a race you need 500) is not an encouraging number. Neither is the number of subscribing witnesses.
I don't know the Harrison/McMahon numbers, but even if they are 2 to 1, or worse, it seems pretty certain that thay are strong enough to show a credible volunteer base (and if there weren't, you know I'd say so). And a credible volunteer base makes a compelling argument that one can win a marginal seat in the fall. By that measure, which was supposed to be Dahroug's ace in the hole, Dahroug dissapoints.
Let's not overstate this--petitions prove some things, but, as Mole has pointed out concerning Chris Owens, they are not necessarily an accurate guage of who will win. And, yes, 100 door to door signatures, properly collected, may be better than a ton of street crap.
But if the other guy has the money, and the party, you better be able to do better than 15 subscribing witness and less than 1.5 times the required # of sigs.