Fantastic news from the Twentieth: per Siena (.pdf), Democrat Scott Murphy now holds a statistically significant lead over republican obstructionist Jim Tedisco.

As the special election in the 20th C.D. enters the final weekend, Democrat Scott Murphy has reversed a four-point deficit and turned it into a four-point lead over Republican Assembly Minority Leader James Tedisco. Murphy leads 47-43 percent, having trailed two weeks ago by a 45-41 percent margin, according to a new Siena (College) Research Institute poll of likely voters. Tedisco’s campaign is viewed by voters as more negative by a 44-25 percent margin, while Murphy’s campaign is seen as more positive. Regardless of who they are supporting, by a 45-35 percent margin, voters think Tedisco will win the election.

“While the percentage of likely voters supporting Murphy has risen about three points per week for the last four weeks, the percentage supporting Tedisco has dropped three points. In the last four weeks, Murphy turned a 12-point deficit into a four-point lead,” said Steven Greenberg, spokesman for the Siena New York Poll.

snip

“This remains a very tight race, with intense campaign activity on both sides,” Greenberg said. “Where will undecided voters and Sundwall supporters go? This race is likely to be decided, however, by the campaigns’ get-out-the-vote operations. Whichever side does a better job of getting their voters to the polls on Tuesday is likely to have a happier Tuesday night.”

I'm still not quite sure that we can hold this seat. But that's mainly because the consequences of us winning would be so delicious I can barely think about them.