Barack Obama’s Broom

Barack Obama’s broom has been busy lately. It has been sweeping caucuses and cleaning up primaries. It hasn’t surprised me one bit, as I have been telling you guys for a while now: you are watching history unfold, folks. Okay: so I like to rub the noses of my detractors into the groundings of my political predictions come true. Live with it.

Last week I told you guys that Obama could sweep the seven upcoming races (including Maine-which everyone and his brother thought Billary would win). I said the worst he could do was win five of seven. I also said that Billary’s best shot for an upset was in Maryland; well take Maryland off the table now. I didn’t even consider The Virgin islands worthy of discussion, since there were only three delegates at stake: but then that was already in the Obama win column. Tonight, I expect Barack Obama’s broom to sweep through the District of Columbia, Virginia and Maryland. Billary will be cleaning up late tonight folks. Start calling her the “clean-up woman”; she will be doing a lot of cleaning up after Obama keeps winning. By tonight he would have won about two dozen caucuses and primaries; this is rally impressive folks: it is time to admit that you Clintonistas.

I expect Obama to win Hawaii. He will do well in Rhode Island and Wisconsin. Even if he loses Ohio and Texas (as the Clinton folks are saying) he will get lots of delegates because of the delegate-formula. In Texas the formula for delegates favor Obama in the black congressional districts as compared to the Hispanic districts. The formula is based on previous turnout, and turnout has been higher in black areas of Texas when compared to Hispanic areas.

Looking forward; Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico and North Carolina come into play. Billary and their spin machines are doing overtime trying to put up a good face; but as I told you folks: Waterloo has come and gone. I expect Barack to win North Carolina. Pennsylvania is still up for grabs. The Obama campaign has moved hundreds of workers and volunteers into Texas; they will be revisiting the Alamo folks. The Obama campaign is very active in Pennsylvania also; they will be competitive there too.

Why doesn’t someone stick fork in this clean-up lady: she is done. She is cooked. She is finished. I have been telling you guys this now since last year; and to think very very few people even gave me the time of day when I called all this. I tell you again: politics isn’t Rocket Science for me/lol. I have been involved all my life; I can read tea leaves and crystal balls quite well/lol.

So lets take on the Clinton’s argument about Obama‘s inability to win big states: that is bullcrap with capital “B” and capital “C”. Look; Obama has been winning big states, small states, east west north and south states, blue states, red states, whites, blacks, Asians, Latins, young voters, old voters, rich people, poor people, educated people and under-educated people, men and women, etcetera and etcetera. It is a rainbow coalition, the likes of which has been seen before (no disrespect to Jesse Jackson here).

So now Billary is trying to steal the delegates from Florida and Michigan; are we really surprised? These are the same people who looted the White House china and silver before they left. These are the same people who pimped out the Lincoln bedroom. These are the same people who gave presidential pardons under questionable circumstances folks; how quickly do we forget. These are the same folks with umpteen scandals behind their partnership; who faced the country on national television and lied more than just a few times; both of them. It’s high time that the voters of this country wake up and send the Hillbilly Clintons packing (poor Chelsea; God bless her big heart).

Last October Hillary Clinton said that she was leaving her name on the Michigan ballot but it really didn’t matter, since she knew that the delegates won’t count. Her campaign knew the rules. They agreed with the Democratic Party’s national committee (DNC): Florida and Michigan were to be punished for moving their primaries up from the dates agreed to with the DNC. Now Billary’s folks are threatening to go to court to secure the delegates that her window dressing wins now claim. How embarrassing; would someone call the sheriff please, they are trying to do a Jesse James here. Do we really want those Republicans on the Supreme Court deciding the outcome of this race?

What these desperate hillbillies are seeing is a close number count when it is all over; they are hoping that the super delegates will over ride the pledged delegates and give them an undeserved coronation: they are so wrong it isn’t funny. This thing will be sealed before Pennsylvania.
Barack Obama will win more states, more voters, more caucuses, more primaries and more pledged delegates than the Billary Clintons. You can’t just steal history like that; you can’t.

SIDEBAR: It is true that I do have an esoteric group of over two hundred recipients for my column, to whom I send out e-mails before the columns go up on any blog site. This is because of all the ridiculous static in the comment-sections coming from anonymous people generally. My intention is to go off line if this doesn’t end soon. I have no other option at this point in time. Many of my recipients don’t like coming on line to deal with the “garbage”. Many of them blame me for participating and that’s why I am trying to avoid the interaction now. I am not good at turning the “other cheek”; I relish the contact. That’s how I deal with things/lol.

Stay tuned-in folks. I haven’t cooled off yet; I am just writing less that’s all.

Rock Hackshaw's picture

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Dan Jacoby's picture

Good call

As I write this, Obama's broom is still at work, having swept the "Potomac primaries" last night.

The real sign that the Clinton campaign is over, however, lies in the fact that she has abandoned Wisconsin. That's a state she needed to win (and in which she has been ahead of Obama all along). Her surrender in Wisconsin is most likely due to a lack of resources (read: "money"), a trend that makes it impossible for her to compete fully.

In addition, the numbers in Texas point to a probable Obama victory; if this happens, Clinton will have no choice but to end her campaign. The numbers are: Latinos - 25% of the total Democratic vote; African-Americans - 21% of the total; Obama vs. Clinton on the "black vote" - about 90-10; Obama vs. Clinton on the "Latino vote" - maybe 65-35 for Clinton ... if she's lucky. The "white vote" will probably split evenly, giving Obama a slim lead overall.

Having written this, I could be premature but I'd like to offer congratulations to Rock for accurately forecasting what has happened so far, and is highly likely to happen in the near future.

Oh yeah -- seating the delegates from Michigan and Florida. Once it's over, chances are they'll seat the delegates and Clinton will release them to vote for Obama.

Gothanonymous Reader's picture

Superdelegates

It's all going to come down to the Super Delegates at the convention. The Clinton machine will pressure and pressure and call in all their markers. They are not going down without a fight on the floor of the convention. If Mr. Obama loses, even with regular delegate count past Clinton's, watch out for the fallout in the General Election.

Dan Jacoby's picture

Superdelegates are irrelevant

They did it to Eugene McCarthy in 1968, because LBJ hated McCarthy for knocking him out of the race. They won't do it to Obama, regardless of how much "pressure" Bill & Hill try to put on them. If Obama ends the primary season ahead in delegates and votes, it's over.

He will go into the March 4 primary with a lead of about 130-145 delegates. With 370 delegates available on March 4, Clinton needs to get at least 225 of them, cutting Obama's lead by more than half. Then she needs to get at least 100 of Pennsylvania's 158 delegates on April 22 in order to get within striking distance by the Puerto Rico caucus on June 7.

If Obama wins Texas, it's over. Clinton will pull out.
If Obama finishes March 4 with a lead (in pledged delegates) of at least 110, it's over, although Clinton will keep trying for a while.

One (if not both) of those two things is almost certain to happen.

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The Rev. Al Sharpton, who ran for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2004, says he won't get into the race this time. "I am not going to run"

Wow, huge surprise....Edwards-Obama 2008 with or without Rev. Al's support.