And the race for 2008 is on
Political pollsters need to justify their existence. Chief among them is Rassmusen Reports. The company has turned its efforts at handicapping the 2008 Presidential race.
Following Election 2006, the nation can look forward to our first female Speaker of the House. Another woman, Senator Hillary Clinton, is the initial frontrunner for the 2008 Democratic Presidential nomination. However, another freshman Senator, Barack Obama, is close on her heels.
The first release of the Rasmussen Reports 2008 Presidential Tracking Poll finds Clinton the choice of 29% while Obama has 22%. Former Vice President Al Gore is number three with 13% and the 2004 Vice Presidential nominee John Edwards is also in double digits at 10%. The Democrats' 2004 standard bearer, John Kerry, is the choice of just 4%.
Not only do I find it risible people are thinking seriously about Obama for president; but am actually relieved that only 4% wants Kerry back. John needs a looooong vacation away from the political spotlight. He ought to focus on becoming the next Chuck Schumer.
I insist that Obama is too green to be considered presidential material. I'd rather see the profile of a Gov. Schweitzer raised significantly in the next 2 years. And I'm still looking at both Gore and Edwards independently since I doubt Edwards would want to play second fiddle to anybody this time around.
As for the Republicans, here's their numbers :
Democrats carried the day in Election 2006 and the 2008 campaign has already begun. Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads the GOP field and is supported by 24%. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is in second with 18% support.
Senator John McCain earned a lot of important friends with his aggressive campaigning in 2006, but he starts the 2008 campaign as the choice for 17% of voters.
Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney comes in fourth with 9% support.
Another funny moment : Condoleeza Rice? Oh niggah, please.
If Florida is any indication I am going to take a wild guess and say that Jeb Bush will run for President in 2008.
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2008 Elections | Barack Obama | Condoleezza Rice | Hillary Clinton | Rudolph Giuliani
Rumors
Submitted by rwallnerny on 10 November 2006 - 2:39pm.
There are persistent rumors, one even made it into print in the new york times, that harry reid and some of the other democrats are trying to cut a deal with Hillary. Basically in exchange for not running for president, Reid would step aside and Hillary would become Senate Majority leader. This from the centerist DLC wing of the party that thinks the senate and house gains made this week will get taken down in two years if hillary is the face of the party.
The question is will the chance to be majority leader be enough of an enticement to get her not to run. Hillary can't get a break, the liberals in the party think she's too conservative, the centerists think she's too liberal. The republicans think she's the devil. She's the most politically polarizing figure in the country.
Obama too green?
Submitted by rwallnerny on 10 November 2006 - 6:22pm.
If you think Obama is too green, you must think Edwards is too green too. Edwards political career consists of one and only one term in the senate, six years. Obama by 2008 will have had four years in the senate and nine years in the Illinois legislature as a state senator, in addition to years before that as a civil rights lawyer and a community activist. By almost any measure, he is more experienced than John Edwards.
Besides I don't think you can quantify experience. Is someone more qualified for a job because he has cast "x" number of votes more than the next candidate? It has to be relative to the quality of the individual, and Obama has great personal stature. Read his books. Or ask his students at Univ. of Chicago where he taught Constitutional Law.
Kerry is toast
The man probably cost us ten seats in the House. No way. No way in hell.